Bubble
Risk & psychologyA period when prices rise far beyond what the underlying economics support.
Built on stories that are genuinely true. The error is the price paid for the story, not the story.
Every term is defined twice: once the way a filing would put it, and once the way somebody would explain it to you across a table. The second one is usually the one that sticks.
Showing 4 terms
A period when prices rise far beyond what the underlying economics support.
Built on stories that are genuinely true. The error is the price paid for the story, not the story.
Prioritising not losing money over maximising returns.
Reducing exposure in a bubble means underperforming visibly for a long time. There is no version that avoids that.
A misleading visual impression created by the choice of axis, scale or window.
On a linear axis, steady compounding always looks like a bubble forming at the right edge — which has talked more people out of good holdings than any analysis.
Taking other people’s behaviour as evidence that something is correct.
Inside a bubble the evidence points the wrong way, because participants keep being proved right.