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Fundamental Analysis
Work out what a business is worth

Fundamental Analysis

28 modules · about 33 hours

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StartWhat fundamental analysis is trying to do
About this track

The three financial statements, every ratio that matters, valuation from DCF to relative multiples, and the qualitative judgement — moats, management, red flags — that no spreadsheet captures. Taught with Indian companies and everyday analogies.

Fundamental analysis is the study of the business behind the share — its revenue, margins, debt, cash flow and competitive position — to estimate what the company is worth and whether the market price is more or less than that. This track teaches how to read the three financial statements, the valuation ratios (P/E, P/B, ROE and the DuPont breakdown), discounted cash flow, and how to tell a genuine accounting red flag from an innocent one.

The emphasis is on judgement, not formulas. A discounted cash flow that quotes a target to the rupee is selling false precision, a low P/E is often cheap for a reason, and the same number means different things in a bank, a commodity producer and a new-age loss-maker. Every method here is taught with the conditions under which it misleads.

Modules

01What you are actually buying5 lessons · 52 min
02The three financial statements5 lessons · 54 min

Income statement, balance sheet and cash flow — what each measures, and why the third one is the honest one.

  1. The income statement11m
  2. One-offs: the profit that will not happen again11m
  3. The balance sheet11m
  4. The cash flow statement11m
  5. How the three statements connect10m
03The ratios that matter5 lessons · 59 min
04Valuation & judgement5 lessons · 58 min
05Putting it to work5 lessons · 56 min
06Deeper judgement6 lessons · 66 min

Business models and unit economics, the three investing styles, what dilution quietly costs you, how to think about cyclicals and turnarounds, and what a business in permanent decline is actually worth.

  1. Business models and unit economics12m
  2. Growth, value and quality: three ways to be right11m
  3. Dilution: the cost that never appears as an expense10m
  4. Cyclicals, turnarounds and special situations12m
  5. The business that is shrinking, valued honestly13m
  6. What a rights issue does to the share price8m
07Structure & forensics11 lessons · 118 min
08Specialised analysis6 lessons · 64 min
09Accounting judgement5 lessons · 60 min

How accounting policy changes reported profit, what the auditor is really saying, reading segment data, mergers and demergers, and what credit rating agencies see that equity investors miss.

  1. How two identical businesses report different profits14m
  2. The auditor's report: qualifications, KAMs and silence11m
  3. Segment reporting: the business inside the business11m
  4. Mergers, demergers and value unlocking13m
  5. Credit ratings and the debt market's view of your stock11m
10Cash and capital6 lessons · 68 min
11Pricing, capex and cash12 lessons · 126 min
12Judgement and comparison6 lessons · 68 min
13Structure and inputs5 lessons · 58 min

Standalone versus consolidated, inventory and asset quality, currency exposure inside a business, valuing a real estate developer, and reading people costs.

  1. Standalone, consolidated, and where problems hide12m
  2. Inventory, depreciation and asset quality12m
  3. Currency inside the business11m
  4. Valuing a real estate developer12m
  5. People costs, and what they reveal11m
14Inference and limits12 lessons · 130 min
15Reading the market’s opinion6 lessons · 70 min
16Reading the fine print5 lessons · 59 min
17Earnings quality9 lessons · 93 min
18Rules that set the numbers5 lessons · 65 min

Other comprehensive income, PLI and RoDTEP incentives in the P&L, trade payables as hidden borrowing, lock-in expiries and minimum public shareholding, and businesses whose prices a regulator fixes.

  1. Other comprehensive income: the profit that never reaches the profit line13m
  2. PLI, RoDTEP and the profits with an expiry date13m
  3. Trade payables: the borrowing that never appears as debt14m
  4. Lock-in expiries and the sellers who have a deadline12m
  5. When a regulator sets the price13m
19The public record5 lessons · 68 min

Reading the exchange announcements feed, pulling subsidiary accounts and registered charges from the MCA, mining a competitor’s offer document, checking a company’s claims against government data, and following a regulatory order through its appeal ladder.

  1. The announcements feed: reading a company through what it is forced to file14m
  2. Down to the registrar: what MCA filings show that the annual report does not14m
  3. Somebody else’s prospectus: mining a competitor’s DRHP13m
  4. Checking a claim against somebody else’s numbers13m
  5. Orders, demands and disputes: reading the regulatory trail14m
20When growth ends5 lessons · 68 min

Decomposing a growth rate into volume, price, mix and acquisition; reading the signs that a market is filling up; watching an industry change shape and knowing which number moves first; the arithmetic of a de-rating; and a procedure for telling a cheap company from a broken one.

  1. Where the growth actually came from: volume, price, mix and acquisition14m
  2. Saturation: how a market tells you it is filling up13m
  3. When an industry changes shape, and which number moves first14m
  4. The de-rating: why the price falls further than the profits13m
  5. Cheap or broken: a procedure for a low multiple14m
21The base that moved5 lessons · 71 min

Why a growth rate can be arithmetically perfect and still meaningless. Discontinued operations and the re-presented year, how a trailing twelve-month figure is actually stitched together, the appointed date that rewrites a closed year, the accounting change that lifts profit without moving cash, and a procedure for rebuilding a decade you can compare.

  1. Discontinued operations: the day last year’s revenue was rewritten14m
  2. The trailing twelve months, and the quarter that absorbs everything13m
  3. The appointed date: when a merger rewrites a year that is already closed15m
  4. When the rules change mid-series: policy, estimate and error14m
  5. Rebuilding ten years you can actually compare15m
22What is due, and when6 lessons · 76 min

The repayment calendar hidden across three lines of the balance sheet, the interest a company is really paying once capitalisation is unwound, the mismatch between a long asset and short funding, the covenant that reclassifies a loan without any cash moving, and a twelve-month liquidity test you can run from published numbers.

  1. The repayment calendar the ratio cannot show you13m
  2. What the debt actually costs, worked backwards13m
  3. Borrowing short to fund long13m
  4. The covenant, and the clause that trips it14m
  5. The twelve-month test you can run yourself14m
  6. Bill discounting and factoring: leverage that can hide9m
23The lender that is not a bank5 lessons · 73 min

Where a finance company’s money comes from and what it really costs, how a thin spread and a fat one produce the same return on equity by completely different routes, the provision that is an assumption rather than a measurement, the quarter of the loan book that has been sold and the profit booked in advance for it, and the year the capital ratio forces a share issue.

  1. Where a lender’s money comes from, and what it actually costs14m
  2. The same return on equity, arrived at two completely different ways14m
  3. The loss that is an assumption, not a measurement15m
  4. The book that is not on the balance sheet15m
  5. The capital ceiling, and the year it forces a share issue15m
24The contract that spans three years5 lessons · 72 min

Reconciling a record order book against orders actually won, the estimate in the denominator that moves a quarter's margin without a rupee of extra work, the three balance sheet lines that hold a contractor's cash while receivable days look fine, why an expected loss is provided in full at once while a gain is not, and the profit that exists only in an arbitration file.

  1. Record orders: inflow, book and what is actually executable13m
  2. The percentage that decides the profit15m
  3. Unbilled, retained and advanced: where a contractor's cash sits15m
  4. The fixed price, and the loss that arrives all at once14m
  5. Claims, awards and the profit that lives in a court15m
25The group, and whose numbers they are4 lessons · 57 min

Two per cent of one company changing hands and reported revenue rising forty-five per cent; a joint venture with ₹1,800 crore of borrowings that appears as one line, until the year it appears as nothing; the same audited accounts giving a price-to-earnings ratio of either 21 or 33 depending on which of two profit figures you divide by; and a group generating ₹1,000 crore of cash while the entity whose shares you own can distribute a fraction of it.

  1. Forty-nine per cent and fifty-one per cent, reported two different ways14m
  2. The joint venture that is one line, and the year its losses stop appearing14m
  3. Whose profit it is, and whose book value15m
  4. A rupee earned two layers down, and what reaches the top14m
26Five industries, read from the inside5 lessons · 68 min

A quarter in which an IT company’s rupee revenue rose eight per cent while the business grew two; an FMCG company growing nine per cent while selling one per cent more; a pharma company whose best factory can stop exporting on a single letter; an automaker whose record month was stock sent to dealers; and a cement company whose whole year turns on ₹200 a tonne of fuel.

  1. An IT services company is priced by the hour: reading one properly14m
  2. Nine per cent growth, one per cent more soap: reading an FMCG company13m
  3. A pharma company is three businesses and a list of factories15m
  4. The record month that was stock sent to dealers: reading an automaker13m
  5. A cement company is read per tonne, and region by region13m
27Five more industries, read from the inside5 lessons · 64 min

A tariff increase of fifteen per cent that lifts a telecom operator’s operating profit by more than a quarter; a power company whose profit grows because the regulator lets it earn on new equity; a retailer whose 8.5% growth is half new stores; a hospital whose revenue rises fourteen per cent without a single new bed; and a steelmaker whose profit falls by a third when coking coal rises.

  1. Telecom: a monthly bill, a tower and a licence paid for in advance13m
  2. Power: a return the regulator allows, and a plant that must be available14m
  3. Retail and restaurants: old stores, new stores, and the rent in between12m
  4. Hospitals: sold by the occupied bed, day by day12m
  5. Steel and metals: the spread between the product and the ore13m
28A third set of industries, read from the inside5 lessons · 66 min

An airline whose profit turns into a loss on a 10% rise in fuel; a refiner whose reported margin includes a gain on crude it merely held; a hotel whose profit rises a quarter on five more points of occupancy; a chemical plant that earns almost nothing in its first year; and an asset manager whose profit falls twice as fast as the market.

  1. Airlines: a few paise between the fare and the fuel13m
  2. Oil refining and marketing: a margin per barrel, and a gain on the crude in the tanks14m
  3. Hotels: the room that earns nothing if it stays empty tonight12m
  4. Specialty chemicals: a plant paid for today, earning its return in year three13m
  5. Asset managers, brokers and exchanges: businesses that live on the market itself14m
← All tracks
Work out what a business is worth

Fundamental Analysis

The three financial statements, every ratio that matters, valuation from DCF to relative multiples, and the qualitative judgement — moats, management, red flags — that no spreadsheet captures. Taught with Indian companies and everyday analogies.

Start with “What fundamental analysis is trying to do” →
Progress0 / 169
Lessons
169
Modules
28
Reading time
33.5 hrs
Quiz questions
222

Fundamental analysis is the study of the business behind the share — its revenue, margins, debt, cash flow and competitive position — to estimate what the company is worth and whether the market price is more or less than that. This track teaches how to read the three financial statements, the valuation ratios (P/E, P/B, ROE and the DuPont breakdown), discounted cash flow, and how to tell a genuine accounting red flag from an innocent one.

The emphasis is on judgement, not formulas. A discounted cash flow that quotes a target to the rupee is selling false precision, a low P/E is often cheap for a reason, and the same number means different things in a bank, a commodity producer and a new-age loss-maker. Every method here is taught with the conditions under which it misleads.

Module 1

What you are actually buying

The mindset shift from "stock" to "business", and how to approach an annual report without drowning.

Module 2

The three financial statements

Income statement, balance sheet and cash flow — what each measures, and why the third one is the honest one.

Module 3

The ratios that matter

Valuation, profitability, leverage and efficiency — with the sector-specific ratios that general rules get wrong.

Module 4

Valuation & judgement

Building a DCF, using relative valuation honestly, and the qualitative work no spreadsheet can do.

Module 5

Putting it to work

From a universe of 5,000 companies to a written thesis — and the decision almost nobody plans for: when to sell.

Module 6

Deeper judgement

Business models and unit economics, the three investing styles, what dilution quietly costs you, how to think about cyclicals and turnarounds, and what a business in permanent decline is actually worth.

Module 7

Structure & forensics

Industry analysis, capital allocation, forensic accounting, holding companies, valuing a bank properly, and reading the shareholding pattern.

12 min

Industry analysis: why the pond matters more than the fish

Some industries let everyone earn well and others destroy capital regardless of management quality. The five forces, applied to Indian sectors.

IntermediateIndustry structureFive forces
12 min

Capital allocation: what management does with the cash

The single most consequential thing a CEO does, the five options available, and how to judge whether they chose well.

AdvancedCapital allocationReinvestment
13 min

Forensic accounting: finding what the numbers hide

Beyond the basic red flags — the specific ratios and disclosures that have preceded most Indian corporate failures.

AdvancedAccrual ratioAuditor resignation
11 min

The Altman Z-score: a bankruptcy early-warning

One number, built from five ratios, that flags whether a company is drifting toward financial distress. How it is built, the safe and danger zones, and where it works and where it does not.

AdvancedAltman Z-scoreFinancial distress
10 min

The Piotroski F-score: nine tests of quality

A nine-point checklist that separates improving businesses from deteriorating ones, using only the financial statements. What each test checks, what a strong score means, and how to use it.

AdvancedPiotroski F-scoreFinancial strength
10 min

The Beneish M-score: sniffing out cooked books

A model built to flag companies likely to be manipulating their earnings. What the eight variables capture, the threshold that raises suspicion, and why it is a smoke detector, not a verdict.

AdvancedBeneish M-scoreEarnings manipulation
11 min

Holding companies and the conglomerate discount

Structures that own other companies — why they trade below the sum of their parts, and when that gap is an opportunity rather than a trap.

AdvancedHolding companyHoldco discount
12 min

Valuing a bank properly

Why P/E fails for banks, how price-to-book and ROE combine into a single framework, and the asset-quality numbers that decide everything.

AdvancedPrice to bookROE
10 min

Reading the shareholding pattern

A free quarterly filing that tells you who owns the company, who is buying, who is leaving — and the one line that matters most.

IntermediateShareholding patternPromoter pledging
9 min

The Ohlson O-score: bankruptcy odds from nine numbers

The Altman Z-score gives you a score and a zone. The Ohlson O-score does something subtly different — it runs nine financial inputs through a statistical model and hands back a probability of bankruptcy. Same job, different maths, and a useful second opinion.

AdvancedOhlson O-scoreBankruptcy prediction
8 min

The Montier C-score: six flags for a company cooking the books

Where the Beneish M-score runs the numbers through a statistical model, the Montier C-score is a plain checklist — six yes-or-no red flags for aggressive accounting. Add up how many are lit, and you have a fast, transparent measure of how much to distrust the earnings.

AdvancedMontier C-scoreEarnings manipulation
Module 8

Specialised analysis

Valuing insurers and loss-making new-age companies, scuttlebutt research, checklist investing, and what BRSR disclosure actually contains.

Module 9

Accounting judgement

How accounting policy changes reported profit, what the auditor is really saying, reading segment data, mergers and demergers, and what credit rating agencies see that equity investors miss.

Module 10

Cash and capital

Working capital and the cash conversion cycle, reading a concall transcript, return on incremental capital, valuing a PSU, and contingent liabilities.

13 min

Working capital: the cash that growth eats

A company can grow revenue 30% a year and run out of money. The cash conversion cycle explains how, and it is the most reliable early warning in fundamental analysis.

AdvancedWorking capitalCash conversion cycle
12 min

Reading an earnings call transcript

The only forum where management answers questions they did not choose. What to skip, what to read twice, and how evasion actually sounds in print.

IntermediateEarnings callGuidance
12 min

Return on incremental capital

Historic ROCE tells you what a business earned in the past. The return on each new rupee invested tells you what compounding is still available.

AdvancedROIICReinvestment rate
12 min

PSUs and the government as promoter

State-owned companies are analysed with the same statements and a different question: whose interests does the majority shareholder actually serve?

AdvancedPSUDisinvestment
11 min

Contingent liabilities and what the balance sheet omits

Obligations that exist but are not recognised: guarantees, disputed taxes, litigation and commitments. Disclosed in a note, excluded from every ratio you computed.

AdvancedContingent liabilityCorporate guarantee
8 min

The sustainable growth rate: how fast a company can grow on its own money

There is a speed limit on how fast a company can grow while funding itself from profits alone. The sustainable growth rate names it — and comparing it to how fast a firm actually grows tells you whether it is quietly borrowing or diluting to keep up.

AdvancedSustainable growth rateRetention ratio
Module 11

Pricing, capex and cash

Pricing power, reading a company through its capex cycle, what the effective tax rate reveals, related party transactions, and free cash flow yield.

12 min

Pricing power: who can raise prices and keep the customer

The single most valuable property a business can have, and the one that shows up in the numbers years after it shows up in behaviour.

AdvancedPricing powerGross margin
12 min

Reading a company that is building

Capital expenditure makes the numbers look worse before it makes them better. Knowing where a company sits in that cycle explains a lot of otherwise confusing results.

AdvancedCapexCapital work in progress
11 min

The tax line, and what it quietly tells you

One number most investors skip entirely. A tax rate well away from the statutory one always has a reason, and the reason is usually worth knowing.

AdvancedEffective tax rateDeferred tax
12 min

Related party transactions

Money moving between the company and people who control it. Most of it is routine, and almost every Indian governance failure has left its trace here first.

AdvancedRelated party transactionPromoter
11 min

Free cash flow yield

What the business actually puts in your pocket, divided by what you pay for it. Harder to manipulate than earnings, and it answers a different question from PE.

AdvancedFree cash flowFCF yield
11 min

ROIC: the truest test of a business’s quality

Return on invested capital measures how well a company turns all its capital — debt and equity — into profit. Why it beats ROE, how it compares to the cost of that capital, and what a great ROIC looks like.

AdvancedROICInvested capital
10 min

The Magic Formula: buy good companies cheap, by rank

Joel Greenblatt’s system for ranking stocks on quality and cheapness at once, using just two metrics. How it works, why the discipline is the hard part, and where it falls short.

AdvancedMagic FormulaEarnings yield
9 min

The Rule of 40: growth and profit, on one line

A one-line test for growth companies: revenue growth plus profit margin should clear 40%. Where it came from, why it captures a real trade-off, and the traps in applying it.

AdvancedRule of 40Revenue growth
11 min

Economic value added: profit after charging for all capital

Accounting profit charges for debt but never for equity. EVA — residual income — subtracts the full cost of capital, revealing whether a company truly created value or just looked profitable.

AdvancedEconomic value addedResidual income
9 min

Owner earnings: Buffett’s version of profit

The cash a business could hand its owners without shrinking. How Buffett’s owner-earnings adjusts reported profit, why maintenance capex is the hard and honest part, and how it differs from free cash flow.

AdvancedOwner earningsMaintenance capex
9 min

Free cash flow to equity: the shareholder’s cash

Free cash flow can mean the cash available to everyone who financed the business, or just to you as a shareholder. Those are different numbers — and after heavy debt repayment they can point opposite ways.

AdvancedFree cash flow to equityFree cash flow to firm
9 min

CFROI: a return on capital that survives inflation and accounting

Accounting returns like ROIC are nominal and shaped by a firm’s bookkeeping choices, which makes comparing companies across time and borders treacherous. CFROI tries to fix that by expressing return as a real, inflation-adjusted rate — closer to an economic truth than an accounting one.

AdvancedCFROIReal return
Module 12

Judgement and comparison

Reading the notes to accounts, concentration risk, management compensation, what happens when a company defaults, and a full side-by-side comparison.

12 min

The notes to accounts, read systematically

The statements are three pages. The notes are eighty, and everything that matters is in them. A repeatable order for reading them in twenty minutes.

AdvancedNotes to accountsAccounting policy
11 min

One customer, one product, one plant

A business can look excellent on every ratio and depend entirely on something that could disappear in a single quarter. Where that dependence is disclosed.

AdvancedCustomer concentrationSupplier concentration
11 min

What management is paid, and paid for

Incentives explain behaviour better than strategy documents do. The remuneration note tells you what management is actually being asked to maximise.

AdvancedRemunerationIncentive alignment
12 min

Default, IBC and where equity ranks

Equity holders are last in the queue and usually receive nothing. Understanding the order changes how you size a leveraged position long before anything goes wrong.

AdvancedDefaultInsolvency
13 min

A full side-by-side comparison

Everything in this track, applied at once. Two competitors, the same eight questions, and how to reach a decision without pretending the answer is obvious.

AdvancedComparative analysisPeer comparison
9 min

Amortised cost and the effective interest method

A bond bought below face value is not carried at what you paid, nor at what it will repay — it drifts between the two. How amortised cost works, why the interest booked differs from the coupon, and where it hides risk.

AdvancedAmortised costEffective interest method
Module 13

Structure and inputs

Standalone versus consolidated, inventory and asset quality, currency exposure inside a business, valuing a real estate developer, and reading people costs.

Module 14

Inference and limits

Reverse DCF, market share over time, what a quarterly result does and does not tell you, analysing thin disclosure, and goodwill and intangibles.

12 min

Reverse DCF: what the price already assumes

Instead of forecasting and getting a value, take the price and solve for the forecast. It turns valuation into a question you can actually answer.

AdvancedReverse DCFImplied growth
11 min

The dividend discount model: valuing a stock by its payouts

The oldest valuation model there is: a share is worth the present value of every dividend it will ever pay. How the Gordon growth shortcut works, and why the answer is so sensitive to two inputs.

AdvancedDividend discount modelGordon growth model
11 min

CAPM: the price of risk, and your cost of equity

Every valuation needs a discount rate, and the cost of equity is where it starts. How the Capital Asset Pricing Model turns a stock’s risk into a required return, and how to use — and distrust — the answer.

AdvancedCAPMCost of equity
9 min

The Graham number: a quick fair-value sanity check

Benjamin Graham’s back-of-the-envelope ceiling for a defensive investor’s price — built from just earnings and book value. What it does, the formula, and the narrow set of stocks it fits.

AdvancedGraham numberIntrinsic value
12 min

The two-stage DCF: high growth now, normal growth later

Real companies grow fast for a while, then settle down — and a single-growth DCF cannot capture that. How the two-stage model splits the future into an explicit forecast and a terminal value.

AdvancedTwo-stage DCFTerminal value
11 min

WACC: the blended cost every company must beat

A company funds itself with equity and debt, each with its own cost. WACC blends them into one hurdle rate — the discount rate a DCF uses and the bar every investment must clear.

AdvancedWACCCost of equity
10 min

Graham net-nets: buying a company for less than its cash

Benjamin Graham’s deepest bargain: a stock priced below the liquidation value of its current assets alone, fixed assets thrown in free. How NCAV works, the two-thirds rule, and why they are so rare.

AdvancedNet-netNet current asset value
11 min

Market share: who is actually winning

Revenue growth tells you the company grew. Share tells you whether it grew because it is winning or because the whole industry did.

AdvancedMarket shareAddressable market
11 min

What a quarterly result does and does not tell you

Quarterly numbers are limited, unaudited and seasonal. Knowing what is genuinely in them prevents most of the overreaction that follows a results day.

IntermediateQuarterly resultsLimited review
12 min

Analysing a company that tells you very little

Smallcaps disclose less, hold no concalls and have no analyst coverage. What you can still establish, and when the honest answer is to walk away.

AdvancedDisclosure qualitySmallcap
11 min

Goodwill and intangibles

Assets you cannot touch, valued by judgement. What each represents, why goodwill is a record of a decision rather than a thing, and when to ignore it.

AdvancedGoodwillIntangible asset
9 min

The Shiller PE (CAPE): a P/E that smooths the cycle

A normal P/E uses one year of earnings — and one year can be a peak or a trough. The Shiller PE averages ten years of inflation-adjusted earnings instead, so a market at the top of its cycle stops looking deceptively cheap.

AdvancedShiller PECAPE ratio
Module 15

Reading the market’s opinion

Implied expectations, comparing against real peers, judging capital allocation, separating a cycle from a structural decline, and reading an earnings call.

12 min

Operating leverage: why small revenue moves become big profit moves

A 10% rise in sales can be a 40% rise in profit, or a 2% one. The difference is the shape of the cost base — and it works just as violently in reverse.

IntermediateOperating leverageFixed cost
12 min

Comparing a company with its actual peers

Sector labels are administrative, not economic. Building a peer set that means something, and reading a comparison table without being led by it.

IntermediatePeer groupRelative valuation
13 min

Judging management by where the cash went

Strategy decks are free. The cash flow statement records what was actually chosen, year after year, and it is the most reliable evidence about management you can get.

AdvancedCapital allocationReturn on incremental capital
13 min

Telling a cycle from a structural decline

Both look identical for the first two years: falling profits, falling price, a cheap-looking multiple. The evidence that separates them, and what it costs to get it wrong.

AdvancedCyclical businessStructural decline
12 min

Revenue quality: not every rupee of sales is worth the same

Who the customer is, how many of them there are, when the cash arrives and whether the sale can be cancelled. Four questions that separate a revenue line from a real one.

AdvancedRevenue qualityCustomer concentration
8 min

Channel stuffing: revenue borrowed from the future

A company can hit its numbers by pushing more goods onto distributors than they can sell, booking it as revenue today. How the trick works, why it always reverses, and the two lines that give it away.

AdvancedChannel stuffingRevenue quality
Module 16

Reading the fine print

EBITDA and what it hides, lease accounting after Ind AS 116, promoter pledging, AGM resolutions and proxy advisers, and reading a research report for what it is.

Module 17

Earnings quality

Accruals as a measurable number, capital work in progress, when book value means something, reading the deferred tax line, and founder succession risk.

13 min

Accruals: the gap between profit and cash, as a number

Everyone says to compare profit with cash flow. This is how you turn that instinct into a ratio you can screen on — and one of the better-documented predictors of disappointment.

AdvancedAccrualsAccrual ratio
12 min

Capital work in progress, and the project that never finishes

An asset under construction sits outside depreciation and outside the return calculation. That makes it the tidiest place on an Indian balance sheet to leave something you do not want examined.

AdvancedCapital work in progressCapitalisation
12 min

Book value, and the businesses where it means anything

For a bank it is close to the whole valuation. For a software company it is almost meaningless. Knowing which you are looking at is most of the skill.

IntermediateBook valuePrice to book
11 min

Deferred tax, and what it quietly reveals

A line most readers skip entirely. It exists because accounting profit and taxable profit are computed differently — and the gap between them says useful things about both.

AdvancedDeferred taxDeferred tax asset
12 min

What happens when the founder goes

A large share of Indian listed companies are still run by the person or family that built them. Succession is a risk that arrives once, is entirely foreseeable, and is rarely priced.

AdvancedKey person riskSuccession planning
9 min

When interest becomes an asset: capitalised borrowing costs

Interest is usually an expense — but while a company builds a large asset, accounting lets it move onto the balance sheet instead. How capitalised borrowing costs quietly lift reported profit, and how to see through them.

AdvancedCapitalised borrowing costInterest coverage
8 min

Gross block, net block, and how old the plant really is

The fixed-asset note holds a quiet tell about a business: how worn out its plant is, and whether a wave of replacement spending is coming. What gross block and net block mean, and what their ratio reveals.

IntermediateGross blockNet block
8 min

Gross profitability: the cleanest measure of a good business

The further down the income statement you read, the more the number has been shaped by accounting choices. Gross profitability takes the figure nearest the top — gross profit against total assets — and argues it is the truest signal of a genuinely profitable business.

AdvancedGross profitabilityGross profit
8 min

Tobin’s Q: is the market worth more than the assets underneath it?

Tobin’s Q asks a deceptively simple question — would it be cheaper to buy this company on the market, or to build it from scratch? The answer, above or below one, tells you what the market thinks a firm’s assets are worth in someone’s hands.

AdvancedTobin’s QReplacement cost
Module 18

Rules that set the numbers

Other comprehensive income, PLI and RoDTEP incentives in the P&L, trade payables as hidden borrowing, lock-in expiries and minimum public shareholding, and businesses whose prices a regulator fixes.

Module 19

The public record

Reading the exchange announcements feed, pulling subsidiary accounts and registered charges from the MCA, mining a competitor’s offer document, checking a company’s claims against government data, and following a regulatory order through its appeal ladder.

Module 20

When growth ends

Decomposing a growth rate into volume, price, mix and acquisition; reading the signs that a market is filling up; watching an industry change shape and knowing which number moves first; the arithmetic of a de-rating; and a procedure for telling a cheap company from a broken one.

14 min

Where the growth actually came from: volume, price, mix and acquisition

Revenue up 18% is not a fact about demand until you have split it. The four sources of a growth rate, where each is disclosed, and why only some of them can happen again.

AdvancedRevenue bridgeOrganic growth
13 min

Saturation: how a market tells you it is filling up

Growth from an empty market is a one-time event. Penetration, replacement demand, the base effect and same-store sales — the measures that keep working after the percentage stops.

AdvancedMarket penetrationReplacement demand
14 min

When an industry changes shape, and which number moves first

Capacity arriving three years after it was justified, players leaving, a substitute taking the increment, and the exit barriers that keep loss-making capacity running. Where each of these shows up before it reaches the profit line.

AdvancedIndustry consolidationBarriers to exit
13 min

The de-rating: why the price falls further than the profits

Profit grew 8% and the stock fell 40%, and nothing was misstated. What a high multiple is actually a statement about, and why a change in expected growth moves the price twice.

AdvancedDe-ratingGrowth durability
14 min

Cheap or broken: a procedure for a low multiple

A screen has handed you a company at six times earnings and below book value. Five checks, in order, that separate a mispricing from a correct discount — and the sentence you have to be able to write at the end.

AdvancedValue trapNormalised earnings
Module 21

The base that moved

Why a growth rate can be arithmetically perfect and still meaningless. Discontinued operations and the re-presented year, how a trailing twelve-month figure is actually stitched together, the appointed date that rewrites a closed year, the accounting change that lifts profit without moving cash, and a procedure for rebuilding a decade you can compare.

14 min

Discontinued operations: the day last year’s revenue was rewritten

A company sells a division and the previous year’s profit and loss account is re-presented without it. Your saved spreadsheet was not. One of the two comparisons says growth, the other says collapse, and both are correctly calculated.

AdvancedDiscontinued operationsContinuing operations
13 min

The trailing twelve months, and the quarter that absorbs everything

Two screeners show two different price-to-earnings ratios for the same company on the same afternoon. Neither is broken. The difference is which twelve months each of them added up, and how the fourth quarter of that year was arrived at.

AdvancedTrailing twelve monthsBalancing figure
15 min

The appointed date: when a merger rewrites a year that is already closed

Revenue up 43% in your own spreadsheet, with no volume growth, no new plant and no price increase. A scheme sanctioned in November took effect from an April nineteen months earlier, and the comparatives in this year’s report are not the ones the same company published last year.

AdvancedAppointed dateScheme of arrangement
14 min

When the rules change mid-series: policy, estimate and error

Your ten-year gross margin chart has a clean step in it, in a year when nothing happened to the business. Three quite different kinds of accounting change produce that step, and each one does something different to last year’s figures.

AdvancedChange in accounting estimateRetrospective application
15 min

Rebuilding ten years you can actually compare

A decade of figures pulled from a data provider in twenty minutes, three of which are on a different basis from the rest. A procedure for finding the breaks, a rule for what to do when a break cannot be repaired, and the module checkpoint.

AdvancedComparable seriesBase year
Module 22

What is due, and when

The repayment calendar hidden across three lines of the balance sheet, the interest a company is really paying once capitalisation is unwound, the mismatch between a long asset and short funding, the covenant that reclassifies a loan without any cash moving, and a twelve-month liquidity test you can run from published numbers.

13 min

The repayment calendar the ratio cannot show you

Two manufacturers, ₹2,400 crore of borrowings each and four times EBITDA each. One repays ₹250 crore next year and the other ₹1,500 crore. The leverage ratio cannot tell them apart, and the “long-term debt” column ranks them the wrong way round.

AdvancedCurrent maturities of long-term borrowingsShort-term borrowings
13 min

What the debt actually costs, worked backwards

Borrowings averaged ₹2,200 crore through the year and the finance cost line says ₹186 crore. That is 8.5%, a rate this company could not obtain from anybody. Nothing has been misstated, and the reconciliation that explains it is four lines long.

AdvancedFinance costImplied cost of borrowing
13 min

Borrowing short to fund long

A road earns a toll for fifteen years and is financed with paper that must be repaid in ninety days. For four years the paper is reissued sixteen times without incident and at improving spreads. The seventeenth time, nothing about the road has changed and the paper is not taken up.

AdvancedAsset-liability mismatchCommercial paper
14 min

The covenant, and the clause that trips it

Operating profit falls from ₹800 crore to ₹600 crore. Not a rupee more is borrowed, net debt is unchanged, and no cash moves. In the accounts, ₹2,150 crore crosses from non-current to current liabilities and the auditor adds a paragraph.

AdvancedDebt covenantCross-default clause
14 min

The twelve-month test you can run yourself

A procedure with two columns. What the company can lay hands on in the next year against what it must pay in the next year, and a verdict in three categories — because the useful output is not a probability of failure but a statement of what your holding is actually resting on.

AdvancedDebt service coverage ratioUndrawn credit line
9 min

Bill discounting and factoring: leverage that can hide

A company with cash stuck in unpaid invoices can sell or pledge them for money today. Useful working-capital plumbing — but depending on how it is structured, it can quietly move real borrowing off the reported debt line.

AdvancedBill discountingFactoring
Module 23

The lender that is not a bank

Where a finance company’s money comes from and what it really costs, how a thin spread and a fat one produce the same return on equity by completely different routes, the provision that is an assumption rather than a measurement, the quarter of the loan book that has been sold and the profit booked in advance for it, and the year the capital ratio forces a share issue.

14 min

Where a lender’s money comes from, and what it actually costs

Two vehicle financiers report the same loan growth and almost the same lending rates, and one of them earns two full percentage points more. Nothing on the asset side explains it. The explanation is on the side of the balance sheet nobody reads.

AdvancedNon-banking financial companyCost of funds
14 min

The same return on equity, arrived at two completely different ways

A vehicle financier and a housing financier both report a return on equity of about 21%. One earns a spread three times the other’s and borrows half as much. The identity that separates them takes two lines, and it decides which of them survives a bad credit year.

AdvancedNet interest marginLending spread
15 min

The loss that is an assumption, not a measurement

Two lenders, the same book size, the same borrowers, and one reports bad loans of 4.5% while the other reports 3.0% and is better provided against them. Add back one line and the ranking reverses.

AdvancedExpected credit lossStage 3 assets
15 min

The book that is not on the balance sheet

The presentation says assets under management grew 26%. The balance sheet says loans grew 11%. Both are correct, a quarter of the year’s pre-tax profit is the reconciling item, and it is several years of spread on sold loans counted in a single one.

AdvancedSecuritisationDirect assignment
15 min

The capital ceiling, and the year it forces a share issue

A lender growing 28% a year while earning 16% on equity is on a countdown it cannot avoid. You can compute the year the announcement comes — and the price at which it comes decides whether the news is good for you or bad.

AdvancedCapital adequacy ratioTier 1 capital
Module 24

The contract that spans three years

Reconciling a record order book against orders actually won, the estimate in the denominator that moves a quarter's margin without a rupee of extra work, the three balance sheet lines that hold a contractor's cash while receivable days look fine, why an expected loss is provided in full at once while a gain is not, and the profit that exists only in an arbitration file.

13 min

Record orders: inflow, book and what is actually executable

A press release announces the highest ever order inflow and a record order book at 2.4 times revenue. Four numbers reconcile a book, and running them shows the signed book grew by about one per cent.

AdvancedOrder inflowOrder backlog
15 min

The percentage that decides the profit

A contractor's margin on one project jumps from 16.7% to 33.3% in a year in which the same ₹160 crore of cost was incurred and not a rupee of extra work was won. The number that moved was an estimate of a cost nobody has yet paid.

AdvancedStage of completionCost-to-cost method
15 min

Unbilled, retained and advanced: where a contractor's cash sits

Receivable days improve from 74 to 72, ₹1,020 crore disappears into working capital, and operating cash flow comes out negative. The debtors line is the one line in a contractor's working capital that behaved.

AdvancedUnbilled revenueContract asset
14 min

The fixed price, and the loss that arrives all at once

A contract half built, and a conclusion that it will finish ₹60 crore under water. Half the work is done, and the whole ₹60 crore goes into this period — which is the exact opposite of how the good news is treated.

AdvancedFixed-price contractCost-plus contract
15 min

Claims, awards and the profit that lives in a court

The notes disclose ₹3,100 crore of claims in arbitration, of which ₹1,400 crore has been recognised in the accounts. One of those figures is upside and the other is profit already reported and not yet collected — and they are almost always read the wrong way round.

AdvancedVariation claimVariable consideration
Module 25

The group, and whose numbers they are

Two per cent of one company changing hands and reported revenue rising forty-five per cent; a joint venture with ₹1,800 crore of borrowings that appears as one line, until the year it appears as nothing; the same audited accounts giving a price-to-earnings ratio of either 21 or 33 depending on which of two profit figures you divide by; and a group generating ₹1,000 crore of cash while the entity whose shares you own can distribute a fraction of it.

14 min

Forty-nine per cent and fifty-one per cent, reported two different ways

A company pays ₹20 crore for two per cent more of a business it already part-owns. Reported revenue rises forty-five per cent, reported borrowings eighty, and a ₹110 crore gain arrives in a year nothing was sold. Where the accounting boundary sits, why it is drawn on control rather than on a percentage, and what crossing it does to a revenue series you had been reading as one.

AdvancedSignificant influenceEquity method
14 min

The joint venture that is one line, and the year its losses stop appearing

A business with ₹1,400 crore of revenue, ₹1,800 crore of borrowings and a ₹900 crore guarantee behind it, none of which is on any page of the balance sheet you are reading. What the single line holds, the point at which a loss-making venture drops out of the profit statement altogether, and the class of joint arrangement where all of it is on your balance sheet after all.

AdvancedJoint ventureJoint operation
15 min

Whose profit it is, and whose book value

One audited set of accounts, and a stock that is either at 21 times earnings and 3 times book or at 33 times and 4.1 times, depending on which of two figures you divide by. Then the group buys out the minority shareholders: earnings per share rises seventeen per cent, book value per share falls thirty-five, and no business is bought.

AdvancedNon-controlling interestProfit attributable to owners of the parent
14 min

A rupee earned two layers down, and what reaches the top

Consolidated cash of ₹1,240 crore, ₹1,000 crore of free cash flow, and a parent that cannot raise its dividend. Where a group's cash physically sits, the four gates it passes on the way up, and the cash-rich subsidiary that is not permitted to distribute a rupee of it.

AdvancedUpstreamingFree reserves
Module 26

Five industries, read from the inside

A quarter in which an IT company’s rupee revenue rose eight per cent while the business grew two; an FMCG company growing nine per cent while selling one per cent more; a pharma company whose best factory can stop exporting on a single letter; an automaker whose record month was stock sent to dealers; and a cement company whose whole year turns on ₹200 a tonne of fuel.

14 min

An IT services company is priced by the hour: reading one properly

An IT services company’s revenue is people, times hours, times a rate — and nearly every number it reports is a way of watching one of those three. Constant currency growth, utilisation, the employee pyramid, deal wins that become revenue over years, and why a weaker rupee can make a flat quarter look like growth.

IntermediateConstant currencyUtilisation
13 min

Nine per cent growth, one per cent more soap: reading an FMCG company

An FMCG company’s revenue growth is three things added together — how much more it sold, how much it raised prices, and whether customers moved to dearer products. Why volume growth is the number that matters, what shrinking packs at fixed prices do to it, why input costs hit margins with a lag, and how the best of these companies run on their suppliers’ money.

IntermediateVolume growthPrice-mix
15 min

A pharma company is three businesses and a list of factories

An Indian pharma company is usually a branded business at home, a generics business in the US and a raw-material or contract-manufacturing arm — each growing, pricing and failing for different reasons. How price control works in India, why US generic prices fall when competitors arrive, what a first-to-file challenge is worth, and how one inspection letter can stop a factory exporting.

IntermediateBranded genericsANDA
13 min

The record month that was stock sent to dealers: reading an automaker

Automakers publish sales every month, but the number they publish is what left their factories for dealers, not what customers bought. How to read wholesale against retail registrations, what dealer inventory tells you, why each vehicle segment follows a different cycle, and why a new emission rule produces a rush of buying and then a lull.

IntermediateWholesale dispatchesRetail registrations
13 min

A cement company is read per tonne, and region by region

Cement is heavy, cheap by the kilo and expensive to move, so it is sold in regional markets that can be in opposite cycles. How to read a cement company in rupees per tonne — realisation, fuel, freight and EBITDA — why capacity added in lumps starts price wars, why the monsoon quarter is always weak, and how the industry values capacity by the tonne.

IntermediateCapacity utilisationRealisation per tonne
Module 27

Five more industries, read from the inside

A tariff increase of fifteen per cent that lifts a telecom operator’s operating profit by more than a quarter; a power company whose profit grows because the regulator lets it earn on new equity; a retailer whose 8.5% growth is half new stores; a hospital whose revenue rises fourteen per cent without a single new bed; and a steelmaker whose profit falls by a third when coking coal rises.

13 min

Telecom: a monthly bill, a tower and a licence paid for in advance

A telecom operator’s revenue is subscribers times what each pays a month, and almost all its costs are fixed — so a tariff increase flows nearly straight to profit. How to read ARPU, subscriber additions and churn, why spectrum and network capex make the balance sheet the real story, and what the licence fee and adjusted gross revenue have to do with it.

IntermediateARPUChurn
14 min

Power: a return the regulator allows, and a plant that must be available

Much of the profit of an Indian power company is not earned in a market at all — it is a return on equity that a regulator allows on approved investment. How cost-plus tariffs work, why availability rather than output decides a regulated plant’s fixed charges, how merchant and renewable power differ, and why a state distribution company’s dues can matter more than any tariff.

IntermediateRegulated equityCost-plus tariff
12 min

Retail and restaurants: old stores, new stores, and the rent in between

A retailer’s growth comes from two very different places — selling more in stores it already has, and opening new ones. How to split the two with same-store sales growth, what revenue per square foot and average daily sales reveal, why a new store takes years to pay back, and how the lease accounting rules changed what EBITDA means in this sector.

IntermediateSame-store sales growthRevenue per square foot
12 min

Hospitals: sold by the occupied bed, day by day

A hospital’s revenue is beds, times the share of them occupied, times what each occupied bed earns a day. How to read occupancy, ARPOB and length of stay, why the mix of cash, insured and government-scheme patients moves margins, why a new hospital drags on profits for years before it matures, and how hospital chains choose between owning buildings and running them for others.

IntermediateOccupancyARPOB
13 min

Steel and metals: the spread between the product and the ore

A steelmaker earns the gap between what steel sells for and what its iron ore and coking coal cost — two prices set largely by global markets and by China. How to read that spread and EBITDA per tonne, why owning iron ore mines matters, why metal companies look cheapest at the top of the cycle, and how aluminium and zinc differ.

IntermediateSteel spreadCoking coal
Module 28

A third set of industries, read from the inside

An airline whose profit turns into a loss on a 10% rise in fuel; a refiner whose reported margin includes a gain on crude it merely held; a hotel whose profit rises a quarter on five more points of occupancy; a chemical plant that earns almost nothing in its first year; and an asset manager whose profit falls twice as fast as the market.

13 min

Airlines: a few paise between the fare and the fuel

An airline sells seat-kilometres, and its whole profit is the small gap between what it earns and what it spends on each one. How to read capacity, load factor and yield, why fuel and the rupee dominate costs, what aircraft leases do to the balance sheet, and why so many Indian airlines have failed.

IntermediateAvailable seat-kilometreLoad factor
14 min

Oil refining and marketing: a margin per barrel, and a gain on the crude in the tanks

An oil marketing company earns in two places — the refinery and the fuel pump — and its reported profit mixes both with gains or losses on crude it simply happened to hold. How to read the gross refining margin, why an inventory gain is not a refining profit, what marketing margins on petrol and diesel depend on, and how upstream producers and gas distributors differ.

IntermediateGross refining marginCrack spread
12 min

Hotels: the room that earns nothing if it stays empty tonight

A hotel room unsold tonight can never be sold again, and most of a hotel’s costs are paid whether the room is full or not. How to read occupancy, the average room rate and RevPAR, why a few points of occupancy move profit so much, how owned, leased and managed hotels differ, and what the room supply cycle means for the next few years.

IntermediateRevPARAverage room rate
13 min

Specialty chemicals: a plant paid for today, earning its return in year three

A chemical company grows by building plants, and each new plant earns little until it is running close to full. How to tell specialty chemicals from commodities, why asset turnover and the ramp-up of new capacity decide returns, how raw material costs pass through with a lag, and what competition from China means for Indian producers.

IntermediateSpecialty vs commodity chemicalsAsset turnover
14 min

Asset managers, brokers and exchanges: businesses that live on the market itself

Some listed companies earn their living from the stock market itself: asset managers charge a percentage of the money they manage, brokers and exchanges earn on every trade, and depositories and registrars earn on every account. How each one makes money, why their profits rise and fall faster than the market, and how a single regulatory change can reshape their revenue.

IntermediateYield on AUMEquity AUM mix

Fundamental Analysis: frequently asked questions

What is fundamental analysis?
Fundamental analysis is the study of a company’s financial statements, business model and competitive position to estimate its intrinsic value and compare that with the market price. It draws on the income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement, on valuation ratios like P/E and ROE, and on discounted cash flow. Where technical analysis asks when to trade, fundamental analysis asks what is worth owning and at what price.
How do I analyse a stock before buying in India?
Read the three financial statements for trends in revenue, margins, debt and cash flow; check valuation ratios such as P/E, P/B and ROE against the company’s own history and its peers; look for red flags like rising receivables, promoter pledging or profits that never turn into cash; and only then form a view on price versus value. This track teaches each of those steps with worked examples on real Indian companies.
What is a good P/E ratio?
There is no universal number — a "good" P/E depends on the company’s growth, the stability of its earnings and its sector. A fast-growing, high-return business can be reasonable at a P/E of 40 while a slow, cyclical one is expensive at 15. Compare a P/E with the company’s own history and its peers, and always ask why it is high or low rather than treating a low number as automatically cheap.
Which is better for long-term investing, fundamental or technical analysis?
For long-term investing, fundamental analysis matters more, because over years a share tends to track the value the underlying business creates rather than short-term chart moves. Technical analysis still helps with timing an entry or an exit, but it is a supporting tool over long horizons rather than the basis of the decision.