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Technical Analysis

Delivery percentage: the statistic no American chart carries

India publishes, every evening, how much of the day’s turnover actually resulted in shares moving between demat accounts. The mechanism behind it, and the ratio trap that ruins most readings.

Technical AnalysisAdvanced13 min read
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A stock you have been watching for a month clears a range it has failed at twice, on volume three and a half times its recent average, and closes near the high. It is the cleanest thing on your watchlist. That evening the exchange file shows the day’s delivery percentage at 11%, against a stock that ordinarily runs in the mid-thirties. Nine-tenths of that famous volume was bought and sold again by the same people before the closing bell, and the chart has no way of telling you so.

Think of it like this
Handled, and taken home

In a cloth shop on a busy Saturday a hundred people unfold the same bolt of silk, hold it against the light and put it back. Twelve of them pay and walk out with it in a bag. The shopkeeper’s footfall counter reads a hundred; his stock register reads twelve. Both are true and they answer completely different questions, and only one of them tells him what to order next week.

In the market

Traded quantity is the footfall counter. Deliverable quantity is the stock register. The exchange publishes both, every day, for every security — and the second one is the number with no equivalent on a foreign chart.

Where the number comes from

Indian cash equity settlement nets at the client level. If the same client code buys 10,000 shares and sells 8,000 of the same scrip on the same day, only the net 2,000 goes to the clearing corporation for delivery. The other 16,000 shares of turnover — 8,000 bought and 8,000 sold — leave no trace in any demat account. At the end of the session the exchange totals what is left across all clients and publishes it as deliverable quantity, alongside the ratio it makes against the day’s traded quantity.

Delivery percentage = (deliverable quantity ÷ total traded quantity) × 100
Deliverable quantity
Shares that actually move between demat accounts at settlement, after same-day client-level netting
Total traded quantity
Every share that changed hands during the session, including the same share several times

Example: Traded quantity 42,00,000 and deliverable quantity 6,30,000 gives 15%. It does not mean 15% of buyers were serious. It means 85% of the day’s turnover was undone before settlement by the people who created it.

A volume spike on the chart. Whether it was accumulation or churn is decided by a number that is not on the chart at all — and is published free that evening.

Why it sits where it does

A low delivery percentage is not a defect. It is what an active, leveraged, intraday-heavy market looks like, and several Indian features push it down mechanically in ways that have nothing to do with anybody’s opinion of the company.

  • Intraday products are the default retail experience here. Brokers offer leveraged intraday products with margins far below the delivery requirement, so the cheapest way to express a same-day view is a position that by construction never reaches delivery.
  • The tax structure is asymmetric. Securities transaction tax on an equity trade squared off within the day is levied differently, and more lightly, than on a delivery trade — so the cost of churning is structurally below the cost of holding. Rates change; the asymmetry is the durable part.
  • Jobbing and two-exchange arbitrage run all day in liquid names, adding turnover on both sides that nets to almost nothing at settlement.
  • Names with listed derivatives attract speculative turnover that names without them do not. Comparing the delivery percentage of an F&O stock with a non-F&O stock is comparing two different populations of participant.
  • Trade-to-trade securities are 100% by construction. Every trade in them must settle by delivery, so the figure carries no information at all — a fact worth knowing before you screen for high delivery and get a list of surveillance-stage stocks.
Worked example
Two breakout days that look identical on the chart
Illustrative — the same stock, six weeks apart
Ordinary day: traded quantityThe stock’s recent normal12,00,000 shares
Ordinary day: deliverable quantityDelivery percentage 35%4,20,000 shares
Breakout A: traded quantity3.5x average — the chart looks superb42,00,000 shares
Breakout A: deliverable quantityDelivery percentage 11%, absolute delivery barely moved4,60,000 shares
Breakout B: traded quantity2.5x average — a less impressive bar30,00,000 shares
Breakout B: deliverable quantityDelivery percentage 43%, three times the usual shares delivered12,90,000 shares
Breakout A produced the bigger volume bar and almost no change in the number of shares that actually moved into somebody’s demat account: thirty-seven lakh shares of the day’s turnover were created and undone by intraday participants. Breakout B produced a smaller bar and tripled the shares taken home. The chart ranks A above B. The settlement file ranks B above A, and it is measuring the thing the volume bar was being used as a proxy for.

What it cannot tell you

  • Not who took delivery. A promoter, an index fund, a long-term holder and somebody carrying a position to tomorrow morning all look identical in this number.
  • Not whether the delivery was voluntary. Bulk and block deals, inter-se promoter transfers, pledge invocations and index rebalancing all land in deliverable quantity and none of them is anybody forming a view. Check the same evening’s bulk and block deal files before you interpret a spike.
  • Nothing on a single day. One session is close to noise. A five-day or ten-day average of deliverable quantity, set against the same stock’s own history, is where the signal starts.
  • Nothing across stocks. A liquid largecap and a thinly traded smallcap have entirely different structural levels. The only fair comparison a delivery figure supports is a stock against its own past.
  • Nothing about direction. High delivery on a heavy down day means people took delivery on the way down. It is participation, not a forecast.
Using it without over-reading it
  1. 1
    Pull the numbers from the exchange, not from a summary

    Both exchanges publish end-of-day files — the bhavcopy and a security-wise delivery position file — free, every session. Aggregator sites round, lag and occasionally mix exchanges. This is a two-minute download for a watchlist you already keep.

  2. 2
    Record deliverable quantity, not the percentage

    Keep the absolute figure in your notes with a rolling twenty-day average beside it. The percentage is then something you compute when you want it, rather than the number your judgement quietly anchors on.

  3. 3
    Ask the question only on days that matter

    The figure earns its keep on breakout days, on gap days and on the first day after a result. On an ordinary Tuesday it is one more number to be over-interpreted.

  4. 4
    Check the bulk and block deal file for the same date

    A single negotiated deal can double deliverable quantity by itself. If the spike is one disclosed transaction, you have learned who bought, which is more information than the ratio was going to give you anyway.

  5. 5
    Use it as confirmation, never as a trigger

    It arrives after the close, so it cannot generate an entry. What it can do is tell you the next morning whether yesterday’s breakout was worth carrying, and that is the honest limit of it.

Check yourself

A stock’s delivery percentage rises from 28% to 46% on a quiet day when turnover fell by two-thirds. What is the most accurate reading?

Simple bhasha mein
Chhua kitno ne, le gaya kaun

Dukaan pe sau logon ne saree kholi, dekhi, wapas rakh di — barah ne paise diye aur thaile mein daal ke le gaye. Volume matlab kitne haath lage; delivery matlab kitne ghar gaye. Shaam ko exchange dono number muft mein chhaapta hai. Bada volume dekh ke khush hone se pehle doosra number dekh lo — aur percentage nahi, seedha shares ginn lo, kyunki shaant din mein percentage apne aap upar chala jaata hai.

What to remember
  • Deliverable quantity is what survives same-day client-level netting; everything else vanishes at settlement.
  • The percentage is a ratio with a volatile denominator — read the absolute deliverable quantity first.
  • Intraday products, the asymmetric transaction tax and jobbing push the figure down for structural reasons.
  • Trade-to-trade securities read 100% by construction and carry no information.
  • It arrives after the close, so it confirms yesterday rather than triggering today.
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Common questions

Short, direct answers to what people ask about this topic.

delivery percentage meaning in stock market
Delivery percentage is the share of a session’s traded quantity that actually resulted in shares moving between demat accounts, published by the Indian exchanges after the close as deliverable quantity divided by total traded quantity. Indian cash settlement nets at the client level, so anything a client bought and sold in the same scrip on the same day cancels out and never reaches settlement. A reading of 15% means 85% of that day’s turnover was undone before settlement by the very people who created it.
the shares that actually move between demat accounts after same-day netting are called the
Deliverable quantity — what is left once same-day buying and selling under the same client code has been netted off. The exchanges publish it every evening beside total traded quantity, and it is the absolute figure worth recording, because the delivery percentage built from it is a ratio whose denominator swings far more than its numerator does.
why is delivery percentage so low for most indian stocks
Because the market’s structure pushes it down, not because buyers are insincere. Leveraged intraday products are the default retail experience here and by construction never reach delivery; securities transaction tax is levied more lightly on a position squared off within the day than on a delivery trade, where STT runs at 0.1% on both the buy and the sell side; and jobbing plus NSE–BSE arbitrage add turnover on both sides that nets to almost nothing at settlement. Names with listed derivatives attract more of this speculative turnover than names without them.
where can I download stock-wise delivery quantity data
From the exchange end-of-day files, which are free — the bhavcopy and the security-wise delivery position file that the NSE and the BSE publish every session. Aggregator sites round the figure, lag it and occasionally mix the two exchanges, so for a watchlist you already keep, the exchange download is the only version that stays correct. It arrives after the close, which is why it can confirm yesterday but never trigger anything today.
can delivery percentage be 100 percent
Yes, and in the trade-to-trade segment it is 100% by construction — every trade in those securities must be settled by delivery, intraday squaring off is not permitted, and the figure therefore carries no information about anybody’s intent. This is worth knowing before you screen for high delivery percentage, because the top of such a list tends to fill up with securities sitting under a surveillance framework.