Every framework in this curriculum assumes you are making decisions alone and rationally. You are not. You are making them while a colleague describes the smallcap that tripled, while a relative asks why you are not in the stock everyone is discussing, and while your feed shows only winners.
The reporting is systematically biased
People announce wins and stay silent about losses. Nobody posts about the position they held for two years that went nowhere, or the one they quietly exited at a 45% loss. What you observe is not a sample of outcomes — it is a sample of the outcomes people chose to mention.
- “I made 3× on that smallcap.”
- “I got allotment and it listed at +70%.”
- “I bought at the bottom in March.”
- Screenshots of a single position, cropped.
- The size of the position — often tiny.
- The four others from the same set that halved.
- That they sold most of it far earlier.
- Their actual portfolio XIRR, which nobody calculates.
What FOMO actually makes you do
- 1Buy after the move
By the time something is being discussed at lunch, the easy money has been made. You are arriving as the people who arrived early look for an exit.
- 2Buy larger than your rules allow
Because a normal position would not "make a difference" against the returns you have been hearing about.
- 3Abandon your process
No thesis, no stop, no sizing calculation — those all belonged to the boring approach that was underperforming.
- 4Hold too long afterwards
Exiting means admitting to the same people that it did not work, so the loss aversion is now social as well as financial.
The office conversation
Three colleagues have made 80–140% in the last eight months on smallcaps. Your diversified portfolio is up 16%. At lunch they discuss the next one, and one of them says the window is closing. You have a written process that would not select this stock. What do you do?
Group mein sab apna profit screenshot daal rahe hain. Kisi ne nuksaan wala screenshot bheja? Kabhi nahi. Aap ek aisa sample dekh rahe ho jisme sirf jeetne wale bolte hain. Us adhoori tasveer ke bharose paisa lagana FOMO ka poora khel hai.
- Relative position affects people more than absolute position — this is well documented.
- What you hear is a sample of what people chose to mention, not of outcomes.
- FOMO makes you buy late, buy larger, abandon process, and hold too long afterwards.
- A 24-hour rule defeats most of it, because urgency is the common ingredient.
- Not discussing individual positions removes the social cost of selling them.
Mark it done to track your progress through the curriculum.
Common questions
Short, direct answers to what people ask about this topic.