Prospective hindsight
Risk & psychologyImagining an outcome as certain in order to generate more specific explanations for it.
In plain terms
“What could go wrong?” invites reassurance. “It failed — explain it” demands a mechanism.
Every term is defined twice: once the way a filing would put it, and once the way somebody would explain it to you across a table. The second one is usually the one that sticks.
Showing 1 term
Imagining an outcome as certain in order to generate more specific explanations for it.
“What could go wrong?” invites reassurance. “It failed — explain it” demands a mechanism.